Severe Pediatric COVID-19 and Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children From Wild-type to Population Immunity: A Prospective Multicenter Cohort Study With Real-time Reporting.

BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 variant evolution and increasing immunity altered the impact of pediatric SARS-CoV-2 infection. Public health decision-making relies on accurate and timely reporting of clinical data. METHODS: This international hospital-based multicenter, prospective cohort study with real-time reporting was active from March 2020 to December 2022. We evaluated longitudinal incident rates and risk factors for disease severity. RESULTS: We included 564 hospitalized children with acute COVID-19 (n = 375) or multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (n = 189) from the Netherlands, Curaçao and Surinam. In COVID-19, 134/375 patients (36%) needed supplemental oxygen therapy and 35 (9.3%) required intensive care treatment. Age above 12 years and preexisting pulmonary conditions were predictors for severe COVID-19. During omicron, hospitalized children had milder disease. During population immunity, the incidence rate of pediatric COVID-19 infection declined for older children but was stable for children below 1 year. The incidence rate of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children was highest during the delta wave and has decreased rapidly since omicron emerged. Real-time reporting of our data impacted national pediatric SARS-CoV-2 vaccination- and booster-policies. CONCLUSIONS: Our data supports the notion that similar to adults, prior immunity protects against severe sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infections in children. Real-time reporting of accurate and high-quality data is feasible and impacts clinical and public health decision-making. The reporting framework of our consortium is readily accessible for future SARS-CoV-2 waves and other emerging infections.

Predicting Patient Death after Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplantation for Inborn Errors Using Machine Learning (PREPAD): A European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Inborn Errors Working Party Study.

Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) is a curative treatment for many inborn errors of immunity, metabolism, and hematopoiesis. No predictive models are available for these disorders. We created a machine learning model using XGBoost to predict survival after HSCT using European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplant registry data of 10,888 patients who underwent HSCT for inborn errors between 2006 and 2018, and compared it to a simple linear Cox model, an elastic net Cox model, and a random forest model. The XGBoost model had a cross-validated area under the curve value of .73 at 1 year, which was significantly superior to the other models, and it accurately predicted for countries excluded while training. It predicted close to 0% and >30% mortality more often than other models at 1 year, while maintaining good calibration. The 5-year survival was 94.7% in the 25% of patients at lowest risk and 62.3% in the 25% at highest risk. Within disease and donor subgroups, XGBoost outperformed the best univariate predictor. We visualized the effect of the main predictors-diagnosis, performance score, patient age and donor type-using the SHAP ML explainer and developed a stand-alone application, which can predict using the model and visualize predictions. The risk of mortality after HSCT for inborn errors can be accurately predicted using an explainable machine learning model. This exceeds the performance of models described in the literature. Doing so can help detect deviations from expected survival and improve risk stratification in trials.

Automating outcome analysis after stem cell transplantation: The YORT tool.

Hematopoietic stem cell transplantation is a high-risk procedure. Auditing and yearly outcome reviews help keep optimal quality of care and come with increased survival, but also has significant recurring costs. When data has been entered in a standardized registry, outcome analyses can be automated, which reduces work and increases standardization of performed analyses. To achieve this, we created the Yearly Outcome Review Tool (YORT), an offline, graphical tool that gets data from a single center EBMT registry export, allows the user to define filters and groups, and performs standardized analyses for overall survival, event-free survival, engraftment, relapse rate and non-relapse mortality, complications including acute and chronic Graft vs Host Disease (GvHD), and data completeness. YORT allows users to export data as analyzed to allow you to check data and perform manual analyses. We show the use of this tool on a two-year single-center pediatric cohort, demonstrating how the results for both overall and event-free survival and engraftment can be visualized. The current work demonstrates that using registry data, standardized tools can be made to analyze this data, which allows users to perform outcome reviews for local and accreditation purposes graphically with minimal effort, and help perform detailed standardized analyses. The tool is extensible to be able to accommodate future changes in outcome review and center-specific extensions.

Exposure-response analysis of alemtuzumab in pediatric allogeneic HSCT for nonmalignant diseases: the ARTIC study.

Alemtuzumab (anti-CD52 antibody) is frequently prescribed to children with nonmalignant diseases undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) to prevent graft failure (GF) and acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD). The aim of this multicenter study was the characterization of alemtuzumab population pharmacokinetics to perform a novel model-based exposure-response analysis in 53 children with nonmalignant immunological or hematological disease and a median age of 4.4 years (interquartile range [IQR], 0.8-8.7). The median cumulative alemtuzumab dose was 0.6 mg/kg (IQR, 0.6-1) administered over 2 to 7 days. A 2-compartment population pharmacokinetics model with parallel linear and nonlinear elimination including allometrically scaled bodyweight (median, 17.50 kg; IQR, 8.76-33.00) and lymphocyte count at baseline (mean, 2.24 × 109/L; standard deviation ± 1.87) as significant pharmacokinetic predictors was developed using nonlinear mixed effects modeling. Based on the model-estimated median concentration at day of HSCT (0.77 µg/mL; IQR, 0.33-1.82), patients were grouped into a low- (≤0.77 µg/mL) or high- (>0.77 µg/mL) exposure groups. High alemtuzumab exposure at day of HSCT correlated with delayed CD4+ and CD8+ T-cell reconstitution (P value < .0001) and increased risk of GF (P value = .043). In contrast, alemtuzumab exposure did not significantly influence the incidence of aGVHD grade ≥2, mortality, chimerism at 1 year, viral reactivations, and autoimmunity at a median follow-up of 3.3 years (IQR, 2.5-8.0). In conclusion, this novel population pharmacokinetics model is suitable for individualized intravenous precision dosing to predict alemtuzumab exposure in pediatric allogeneic HSCT for nonmalignant diseases, aiming at the achievement of early T-cell reconstitution and prevention of GF in future prospective studies.

Effect of Busulfan and Treosulfan on Gonadal Function after Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplantation in Children and Adolescents with Nonmalignant Diseases Is Not Exposure-Dependent.

With an increasing number of young patients surviving into adulthood after hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT), gonadal dysfunction becomes an important late effect with significant impact on quality of life. In this retrospective study, we evaluated the exposure of busulfan (Bu) and treosulfan (Treo) in relation to gonadal function in pediatric patients who underwent HSCT for a nonmalignant disease between 1997 and 2018. In the Bu group, 56 patients could be evaluated, and gonadal dysfunction was found in 35 (63%). Lower Bu exposure (ie, cumulative area under the curve [AUC] <70 mg*h/L) was not associated with a reduced risk of gonadal dysfunction (odds ratio [OR], .92; 95% confidence interval [CI], .25 to 3.49; P = .90). In the Treo cohort, 32 patients were evaluable and gonadal insufficiency occurred in 9 patients (28%). Lower Treo exposure (AUC <1750 mg*h/L on day 1) was not associated with a reduced risk of gonadal dysfunction (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, .16 to 36.6; P = .71). Our data do not support the premise that reduced-intensity Bu-based conditioning reduces the risk for gonadal toxicity, and it is unlikely that therapeutic drug monitoring-based reduced treosulfan exposure will further limit the risk of gonadal dysfunction.

Neurocognitive, Psychosocial, and Quality of Life Outcomes After Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children Admitted to the PICU.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate neurocognitive, psychosocial, and quality of life (QoL) outcomes in children with Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) seen 3-6 months after PICU admission. DESIGN: National prospective cohort study March 2020 to November 2021. SETTING: Seven PICUs in the Netherlands. PATIENTS: Children with MIS-C (0-17 yr) admitted to a PICU. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Children and/or parents were seen median (interquartile range [IQR] 4 mo [3-5 mo]) after PICU admission. Testing included assessment of neurocognitive, psychosocial, and QoL outcomes with reference to Dutch pre-COVID-19 general population norms. Effect sizes (Hedges' g ) were used to indicate the strengths and clinical relevance of differences: 0.2 small, 0.5 medium, and 0.8 and above large. Of 69 children with MIS-C, 49 (median age 11.6 yr [IQR 9.3-15.6 yr]) attended follow-up. General intelligence and verbal memory scores were normal compared with population norms. Twenty-nine of the 49 followed-up (59%) underwent extensive testing with worse function in domains such as visual memory, g = 1.0 (95% CI, 0.6-1.4), sustained attention, g = 2.0 (95% CI 1.4-2.4), and planning, g = 0.5 (95% CI, 0.1-0.9). The children also had more emotional and behavioral problems, g = 0.4 (95% CI 0.1-0.7), and had lower QoL scores in domains such as physical functioning g = 1.3 (95% CI 0.9-1.6), school functioning g = 1.1 (95% CI 0.7-1.4), and increased fatigue g = 0.5 (95% CI 0.1-0.9) compared with population norms. Elevated risk for posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) was seen in 10 of 30 children (33%) with MIS-C. Last, in the 32 parents, no elevated risk for PTSD was found. CONCLUSIONS: Children with MIS-C requiring PICU admission had normal overall intelligence 4 months after PICU discharge. Nevertheless, these children reported more emotional and behavioral problems, more PTSD, and worse QoL compared with general population norms. In a subset undergoing more extensive testing, we also identified irregularities in neurocognitive functions. Whether these impairments are caused by the viral or inflammatory response, the PICU admission, or COVID-19 restrictions remains to be investigated.

Late Effects in Pediatric Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation for Nonmalignant Diseases: Proxy- and Patient-Reported Outcomes.

Survival rates in pediatric hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) for nonmalignant diseases have improved due to advances in conditioning regimens, donor selection, and prophylaxis and treatment of infections and graft-versus-host disease. Insight into the long-term patient-reported outcomes (PROs) after pediatric HSCT for nonmalignant disease is lacking but essential for optimal shared decision making, counseling, and quality of care. The purpose of this research was to determine long-term patient-reported outcomes in allogeneic pediatric HSCT for nonmalignant diseases and to compare these results with Dutch reference data. This single-center cohort study evaluated PROs (PedsQL 4.0, PROMIS item banks), self- or proxy-reported, among patients at ≥2 years after pediatric allogeneic HSCT for nonmalignant disease. Mean scores were compared with those of the Dutch general population. Of 171 eligible patients, 119 participated, for a 70% response rate. The median patient age was 15.8 years (range, 2 to 49 years), and the median duration of follow-up was 8.7 years (range, 2 to 34 years). Indications for HSCT included inborn errors of immunity (n = 41), hemoglobinopathies (n = 37), and bone marrow failure (n = 41). Compared with reference data, significantly lower scores were found in adolescents (age 13 to 17 years) on the Total, Physical Health, and School Functioning PedsQL subscales. Significantly more Sleep Disturbance was reported in children (age 8 to 18 years). On the other hand, significantly better scores were seen on PROMIS Fatigue (age 5 to 7 years) and Pain Interference (age 8 to 18 years) and, in adults (age 19 to 30 years), on Depressive Symptoms and Sleep Disturbance. This study showed better or comparable very long-term PROs in patients after pediatric HSCT for nonmalignant diseases compared with the reference population. Children and adolescents seem to be the most affected, indicating the need for supportive care to prevent impaired quality of life and, more importantly, to amplify their long-term well-being.

A longitudinal analysis of nosocomial bloodstream infections among preterm neonates.

Nosocomial bloodstream infections (NBSIs), commonly due to central-line associated bloodstream infections (CLABSI), contribute substantially to neonatal morbidity and mortality. We aimed to identify longitudinal changes in incidence of NBSI, microbiological-spectrum, and antibiotic exposure in a large cohort of preterm neonates admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit. We retrospectively assessed differences in annual rates of NBSI (per 1000 patient-days), CLABSI (per 1000 central-line days), and antibiotic consumption (per 1000 patient-days) among preterm neonates (< 32 weeks' gestation) hospitalized between January 2012 and December 2020. Multi-state Markov models were created to model states of progression of NBSI and infection risk given a central-line on days 0, 3, 7, and 10 of admission. Of 1547 preterm infants, 292 (19%) neonates acquired 310 NBSI episodes, 99 (32%) of which were attributed to a central-line. Over the years, a significant reduction in central-line use was observed (p < 0.001), although median dwell-time increased (p = 0.002). CLABSI incidence varied from 8.83 to 25.3 per 1000 central-line days, with no significant difference between years (p = 0.27). Coagulase-negative staphylococci accounted for 66% of infections. A significant decrease was found in antibiotic consumption (p < 0.001). Probability of NBSI decreased from 16% on day 3 to 6% on day 10. NBSI remains a common problem in preterm neonates. Overall antibiotic consumption decreased over time despite the absence of a significant reduction in infection rates. Further research aimed at reducing NBSI, in particular CLABSI, is warranted, particularly with regard to limiting central-line dwell-time and fine-tuning insertion and maintenance practices.

Clinical Features, Treatment, and Outcome of Pediatric Steroid Refractory Acute Graft-Versus-Host Disease: A Multicenter Study.

Steroid-refractory acute graft-versus-host disease (SR-aGvHD) is a severe complication in pediatric allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). We aimed to assess clinical course and outcomes of pediatric SR-aGvHD. We performed a retrospective nationwide multicenter cohort study in the Netherlands. All patients aged 0 to 18 years who underwent transplantation between 2010 and 2020 with SR-aGvHD were included. For each patient, weekly clinical aGvHD grade and stage, immunosuppressive treatment and clinical outcomes were collected. The primary study endpoint was the clinical course of SR-aGvHD over time. As a secondary outcome, factors influencing overall survival and SR-aGvHD remission were identified using a multistate Cox model. 20% of transplanted children developed grade II-IV aGvHD, of which 51% (n = 81) was SR-aGvHD. In these patients, second-line therapy was started at a median of 8 days after initial aGvHD-diagnosis. Forty-nine percent of SR-aGvHD patients received 3 or more lines of therapy. One year after start of second-line therapy, 34 patients (42%) were alive and in remission of aGvHD, 14 patients (17%) had persistent GvHD, and 33 patients (41%) had died. SR-aGvHD remission rate was lower in cord blood graft recipients than in bone marrow (BM) or peripheral blood stem cell (PBSC) recipients (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.51, 0.27-0.94, P = .031). Older age was associated with higher mortality (HR = 2.62, 1.04-6.60, P = .04, fourth quartile [aged 13.9-17.9] versus first quartile [aged 0.175-3.01]). In BM/PBSC recipients older age was also associated with lower remission rates (HR = 0.9, 0.83-0.96, P = .004). Underlying diagnosis, donor matching or choice of second-line therapy were not associated with outcome. Respiratory insufficiency caused by pulmonary GvHD was a prominent cause of death (26% of deceased). Our study demonstrates that SR-aGvHD confers a high mortality risk in pediatric HSCT. Older age and use of CB grafts are associated with an unfavorable outcome. Multicenter studies investigating novel treatment strategies to prevent pediatric SR-aGvHD and inclusion of children in ongoing trials, together with timely initiation of second-line interventions are pivotal to further reduce GvHD-related mortality.

Hematopoietic cell transplantation in severe combined immunodeficiency: The SCETIDE 2006-2014 European cohort.

BACKGROUND: Hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) represents a curative treatment for patients with severe combined immunodeficiency (SCID), a group of monogenic immune disorders with an otherwise fatal outcome. OBJECTIVE: We performed a comprehensive multicenter analysis of genotype-specific HSCT outcome, including detailed analysis of immune reconstitution (IR) and the predictive value for clinical outcome. METHODS: HSCT outcome was studied in 338 patients with genetically confirmed SCID who underwent transplantation in 2006-2014 and who were registered in the SCETIDE registry. In a representative subgroup of 152 patients, data on IR and long-term clinical outcome were analyzed. RESULTS: Two-year OS was similar with matched family and unrelated donors and better than mismatched donor HSCT (P < .001). The 2-year event-free survival (EFS) was similar in matched and mismatched unrelated donor and less favorable in mismatched related donor (MMRD) HSCT (P < .001). Genetic subgroups did not differ in 2-year OS (P = .1) and EFS (P = .073). In multivariate analysis, pretransplantation infections and use of MMRDs were associated with less favorable OS and EFS. With a median follow-up of 6.2 years (range, 2.0-11.8 years), 73 of 152 patients in the IR cohort were alive and well without Ig dependency. IL-2 receptor gamma chain/Janus kinase 3/IL-7 receptor-deficient SCID, myeloablative conditioning, matched donor HSCT, and naive CD4 T lymphocytes >0.5 × 10e3/µL at +1 year were identified as independent predictors of favorable clinical and immunologic outcome. CONCLUSION: Recent advances in HSCT in SCID patients have resulted in improved OS and EFS in all genotypes and donor types. To achieve a favorable long-term outcome, treatment strategies should aim for optimal naive CD4 T lymphocyte regeneration.

IL-7 and IL-15 Levels Reflect the Degree of T Cell Depletion during Lymphopenia and Are Associated with an Expansion of Effector Memory T Cells after Pediatric Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation.

Differentially and functionally distinct T cell subsets are involved in the development of complications after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT), but little is known about factors regulating their recovery after HSCT. In this study, we investigated associations between immune-regulating cytokines, T cell differentiation, and clinical outcomes. We included 80 children undergoing allogeneic HSCT for acute leukemia using bone marrow or peripheral blood stem cells grafted from a matched sibling or unrelated donor. Cytokines (IL-7, IL-15, IL-18, SCF, IL-6, IL-2, and TNF-α) and active anti-thymocyte globulin (ATG) levels were longitudinally measured along with extended T cell phenotyping. The cytokine profiles showed a temporary rise in IL-7 and IL-15 during lymphopenia, which was strongly dependent on exposure to active ATG. High levels of IL-7 and IL-15 from graft infusion to day +30 were predictive of slower T cell recovery during the first 2 mo post-HSCT; however, because of a major expansion of memory T cell stages, only naive T cells remained decreased after 3 mo (p < 0.05). No differential effect was seen on polarization of CD4+ T cells into Th1, Th2, or Th17 cells or regulatory T cells. Low levels of IL-7 and IL-15 at day +14 were associated with acute graft-versus-host disease grades II-IV in ATG-treated patients (p = 0.0004 and p = 0.0002, respectively). Children with IL-7 levels comparable to healthy controls at day +14 post-HSCT were less likely to develop EBV reactivation posttransplant. These findings suggest that quantification of IL-7 and IL-15 may be useful as biomarkers in assessing the overall T cell depletion and suggest a potential for predicting complications after HSCT.

Modeling Influencing Factors in B-Cell Reconstitution After Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation in Children.

Reduced total and memory B-cell numbers in peripheral blood long term after hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) are associated with an increased incidence of infections and immune complications. Using novel modelling strategies, baseline factors influencing B-cell reconstitution can be comprehensively studied. This study aims to investigate the numerical total and memory B-cell reconstitution in children and the association with baseline determinants 0.5-2 years after allogeneic HSCT. Eligible for inclusion were children transplanted in our center between 2004-2017 who received a first HSCT for malignant or non-malignant disorders. The continuous absolute counts of total and memory B-cells were evaluated as outcome measure. Exploratory analysis at one year was done to identify possible determinants. Linear mixed effect modelling was used to analyze the association of these determinants with total and memory B-cell reconstitution 0.5-2 years after HSCT. In a cohort of 223 evaluable patients analyzed at 1-year after HSCT donor age, stem cell source, donor type, recipient age and conditioning were identified as significant determinants for total and memory B-cell numbers. Multivariable analysis revealed that both donor and recipient age were inversely correlated with the size of total and memory B-cell reconstitution. In contrast, no correlation was found with stem cell source, donor type and conditioning. Making use of linear mixed modelling both stem cell donor and recipient age were identified as independent determinants of total and memory B-cell reconstitution 0.5-2 years after HSCT.

Modeling Long-Term Erythropoietic Recovery After Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplants in Pediatric Patients.

Long term erythropoietic reconstitution after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (alloHSCT) has not been extensively studied. We aimed to describe erythropoietic reconstitution as an indicator of long-term graft function by modeling hemoglobin levels during the first 3 years post HSCT in pediatric patients. We retrospectively included 414 patients and 11,957 measurements. The largest hemoglobin increase was at day 45 and levels reached a steady state at day 648 with a level of 7.48 mmol/L. In patients transplanted for hematological malignancies hemoglobin levels normalized faster (p < 0.0001). Increasing patient age correlated with faster recovery (p < 0.0001), while donor age had no influence. Conditioning, donor type and graft source did not influence recovery significantly. In the ABO mismatched group there was a transient negative effect on hemoglobin levels, and a delay in reticulocyte recovery (21 vs. 19 days; p = 0.012). In contrast, hemoglobin levels reached a higher plateau beyond 9 months in these patients (p < 0.0001). After alloHSCT, experiencing a CMV reactivation negatively affected reconstitution (p = 0.034), while EBV reactivations and acute graft vs. host disease did not. In summary, erythropoietic recovery was mainly influenced by patient factors and primary disease, and less influenced by donor factors.